Infosys after a 15% fall from its 52-week high
After 15% below its 52-week closing high, Infosys Limited's next-20-trading-day edge over an ordinary day is −3.0 pts in median return and −16.5 pts in hit-rate, from 12 real occasions since 22 Jun 2011 (a repeat within 20 trading days doesn't count twice).
In full: after those 12 occasions, the price was higher 42% of the time 20 trading days later, median −1.6%, against higher 58% of the time, median +1.4%, on an ordinary day in the same period.
What weakens this: a small sample.
Only 12 occasions. Treat this as an illustration of the pattern, not as evidence that it repeats.
| After | Occasions | Median | Higher | Ordinary-day median | Ordinary-day higher | Worst | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 trading days | 12 | −1.2% | 25% | +0.3% | 54% | −21.2% | +4.5% |
| 20 trading days | 12 | −1.6% | 42% | +1.4% | 58% | −10.6% | +10.8% |
| 60 trading days | 12 | +5.6% | 67% | +2.6% | 58% | −11.3% | +21.1% |
| 120 trading days | 12 | +6.9% | 58% | +3.3% | 59% | −9.8% | +42.6% |
The same signal, split by the price trend at the time (20 trading days later)
| Trend at signal time | Occasions | Median | Higher | Ordinary-day median | Ordinary-day higher |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above its 200-day average | 2 | −0.8% | 50% | +1.1% | 57% |
| Below its 200-day average | 10 | −2.1% | 40% | +1.8% | 60% |
All 12 occasions
All 12 occasions
| Date | Close | After 20 days | After 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2025 | ₹1,687.70 | −9.6% | −7.9% |
| 15 Apr 2024 | ₹1,468.15 | −3.3% | +12.6% |
| 25 Oct 2023 | ₹1,370.05 | +6.4% | +21.1% |
| 18 Apr 2022 | ₹1,621.40 | −6.3% | −11.3% |
| 9 Mar 2020 | ₹704.45 | −9.7% | +1.6% |
| 22 Oct 2019 | ₹643.55 | +10.8% | +19.2% |
| 26 Oct 2018 | ₹633.60 | +0.8% | +15.5% |
| 15 Jul 2016 | ₹536.27 | −0.9% | −4.2% |
| 28 Apr 2015 | ₹490.23 | +0.4% | +12.5% |
| 25 Mar 2014 | ₹406.80 | −2.3% | −2.2% |
| 12 Apr 2013 | ₹287.08 | +2.3% | +8.9% |
| 3 Jul 2012 | ₹311.32 | −10.6% | +2.4% |
Prices: NSE closing prices, adjusted for splits and bonuses only, from 22 Jun 2011 to 9 Oct 2026. Dividends and costs are not included. This describes what happened in the past. It is not a recommendation or a prediction.
Infosys Limited · what happened after 15% below its 52-week closing high · full history -- a real, live-computed answer, shown here as a sample.
Ask Tradinity is in early access. Join the waitlist on the main page to be notified when it opens up.
See more about Ask Tradinity